Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 67.717731 76.502324 85.513993 95.417307 105.963204 116.828049 128.837863
2025-06-01 54.370042 66.953278 80.474067 95.949227 113.044427 131.236235 151.944889
2025-06-08 45.310112 59.769838 75.874108 94.864039 116.387631 139.795477 166.954068
2025-06-15 39.833605 55.799334 74.132063 96.282303 121.901006 150.229817 183.568060
2025-06-22 35.557607 52.674256 72.882014 97.824567 127.174416 160.081289 199.258355
2025-06-29 30.814701 48.471170 69.932361 97.001067 129.398615 166.210692 210.521028
2025-07-06 26.125308 43.865788 66.106036 94.785018 129.695621 169.882830 218.767788
2025-07-13 24.589108 43.214208 67.062675 98.270331 136.678295 181.259835 235.850512
2025-07-20 22.656377 41.832828 66.945241 100.310202 141.833915 190.434713 250.339424
2025-07-27 19.993385 39.187660 65.001228 99.903088 143.889849 195.852119 260.364854
2025-08-03 17.489223 36.531938 62.860642 99.092813 145.327513 200.439196 269.339445
2025-08-10 15.743930 34.839145 61.895636 99.698540 148.445960 206.989366 280.599999
2025-08-17 13.743710 32.586470 60.060600 99.112989 150.062285 211.754843 289.809224
2025-08-24 12.224999 30.951636 58.990240 99.465839 152.817626 217.882843 300.647088
2025-08-31 10.478408 28.735159 56.941640 98.387808 153.654455 221.592262 308.522019
2025-09-07 9.557762 27.851719 56.779930 99.831750 157.710427 229.254707 321.174046
2025-09-14 8.753420 27.089146 56.742477 101.407807 161.914288 237.090400 334.038439
2025-09-21 7.486763 25.295431 55.029693 100.566583 162.893918 240.866147 341.923629
2025-09-28 6.080166 23.001109 52.391559 98.302890 161.906277 242.108528 346.652210
2025-10-05 5.912557 23.268568 53.821721 101.862961 168.679286 253.148871 363.457018
2025-10-12 5.489839 22.928404 54.240725 103.946079 173.469208 261.683232 377.182630
2025-10-19 4.685736 21.607350 52.979193 103.530364 174.860951 265.880536 385.531403
2025-10-26 3.909164 20.198335 51.482021 102.702925 175.648174 269.275012 392.862447